'Deadpool' Tracking For Another Big Weekend

'Deadpool' Tracking For Another Big Weekend

By Robert Dougherty Feb 18, 2016 02:15 PM
Photo Credit: 20th Century Fox

Last weekend's box office predictions weren't wrong about Deadpool dominating, but they gravely underestimated by how much. In fact, its $150+ million four-day total more than doubled initial projections, which means predictions for this weekend could be taken with a grain of salt.

Nevertheless, The Wrap expects a second weekend of $65 million, almost in line with what last weekend was expected to be. Yet Deadline has it down to $55 million, although either result would demolish the competition, with only Race, Risen and The Witch as its new challengers.

Considering Deadpool's $132 million over the first three days of the Presidents Day weekend, $55-65 million would be between a 50-60 percent drop off. Of course, the last time Ryan Reynolds played Deadpool, X-Men Origins: Wolverine dropped an infamous 69 percent in its second weekend and went into the tank from there, so 50 percent would be more than acceptable.

In the race for second, holdovers Kung Fu Panda 3, the stumbling Zoolander 2 and How To Be Single will try to hold firm against the newcomers, though Panda probably has the only shot to do it. Risen and its story of Christ's resurrection stands to excel through religious audiences, with The Wrap tracking an $11-15 million debut.

Meanwhile, Deadline has Race trailing behind with an opening no higher than the low double digits. A24's The Witch has a more modest release ahead in 1,800 theaters, but early critical acclaim and word of mouth could push it to a $5-6 million start.

Such word of mouth did even more wonders for Deadpool last weekend, and now it stands to push it over $200 million overall through two weeks. With at least another weekend of manageable competition ahead, the dollars could keep rising as high as Deadpool's body count for a while longer.

Tags: Deadpool (2016), Race (2016), Risen (2016), The Witch (2016), X-Men Origins: Wolverine (2009)
About the Author
Robert Dougherty is a longtime online freelance writer, who wrote reviews, articles & editorials on movies/TV for several years on the now defunct Yahoo Voices.
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